So the reason you are getting a different answer online is because you are likely just doing your odds of winning or rather just your win/los ratio which is far different from the actual probability.

The actual probability is based on the amount of balls in the game and your card. There is a specific calculation for getting the odds for when you then remove odds from the pool which is what you get online.

You could also simplify it and base it on which card you pick at which point it would be 1/x where x is the number of cards since there always has to be one person to win

I wasn't really talking about acquisition. More so the use.

And that kinda feels like some bullshit that noone else has but hey the better. Point still stands, the main control is not wanting to be blown up aswel.

It took a massive team of over 100000 scientists, in something they named project manhattan. And its more so a why than a how. War is a good motivator to do a lot of stuff, the internet is due to war, commercial airplanes are due to war, etc. So they mostly just wanted a superweapon to wel 'nuke' the opposition into submission.

And keep them under control. Not at all.

The only reason noone is dropping them is because of a principal we call MAD(mutualy assured destruction) if you bomb someone you are sure as hell going to be getting one back because so many countries now have them.

Would like to add to the not analysing everything all the time.

I dont know the english term for it but due to a condition i do. And i have had to learn how to filter out useless information because it just made me absurdly tired all the time and made me want to dont for 40% of the days i was awake.