sumane12

sumane12 t1_jeb1wh1 wrote

Reply to comment by WonderFactory in GPT characters in games by YearZero

>I'm hoping though that inference costs will come down by the time the game is finished.

Genius. This is exactly what will happen, and I'm glad someone has the forethought to develop the product, before the underlying technology is ready, because it will be there.

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sumane12 t1_je6jgw8 wrote

Remember, you're judging this based on people who are dieing in their 80s today, think about what life was like 60 years ago when they were in their 20s, open coal fires, smoking and passive smoking, little to no understanding of health and fitness (general population), little to no health and safety at work regulations, little to no enforcement of FDA regulations, little to no understanding of the effects of alcohol, obesity etc. Not to mention the effect of caloric restriction, intermittent fasting, Metformin, yamanaka factors, resveratrol, these will have a compounding effect to the point I believe anyone born 1980s+ will probably have an average life span closer to 100 than 80. That's assuming no further medical advancements between now and then.

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sumane12 t1_je4uid9 wrote

Either UBI, or what my AI pet will make for me. failing both of those ideas, 99.9% of the rest of the population will be in the same boat, so I'm looking at a world wide violent revolution, where we take the wealth created by AI for ourselves.

Third option is looking less and less likely by the day (most people actually want to look after others, and the democratisation of these technologies is forcing prices down), but I'm ready to fight for the survival of myself and family if necessary. I do believe abundance is not only possible, but exceedingly likely in the near term.

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sumane12 t1_jdlj54u wrote

This is the answer.

Considering life on this planet went through atleast 5 major extinction events and took 4 billion years to create creatures intelligent enough to leave the planet, it's likely that space faring civilizations are extremely rare. Now let's give a low range estimate that the first intelligent creatures arrived approximately 4 billion years after the big bang, that gives them at the very maximum, a 9 billion light year sphere of radio broadcast. Given that the observable universe is 93b light years accross, that first civilization would have only sent out radio waves in 10% of the universe, which means we could very easily be in a part of space that it hasn't reached yet.

This all falls apart if FTL is achieved, but I suspect if that's the case, then it won't really matter.

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