tornado28

tornado28 t1_j8ztxdg wrote

Yeah I guess I'm pretty pessimistic about the possibility of aligned AI. Even if we dedicated more resources to it, it's a very hard problem. We don't know which model is going to end up being the first AGI and if that model isn't aligned then we won't get a second chance. We're not good at getting things right on the first try. We have to iterate. Look how many of Elon Musk's rockets blew up before they started working reliably.

Right now I see more of an AI arms race between the big tech companies than an alignment focused research program. Sure Microsoft wants aligned AI but it's important that they build it before Google, so if it's aligned enough to produce PC text most of the time that might be good enough.

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tornado28 t1_j8zcrc2 wrote

People will use them to make money in unethical and disruptive ways. An example of an unethical way to use them is phishing scams. Instead of sending out the same phishing email to thousands of people, scammers may get some data about people and then use the language model to write personalized phishing emails that have a much higher success rate.

Disruptive applications will take jobs. Customer service, content creation, journalism, and software engineering are all fields that may lose jobs as a result of large language models.

The other disruptive possibility is that LLMs will be able to themselves rapidly build more powerful LLMs. I use GitHub copilot every day and it's already very good at writing code. It takes at least 25% off the time it takes me to complete a software implementation task. So it's very possible a LLM could in the near future make improvements to it's own training script and use it to train an even more powerful LLM. This could lead to a singularity where we have extremely rapid technological development. It's not clear to me what the fate of humankind would be in this case.

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