woodzy_mtb

woodzy_mtb OP t1_izm0j9y wrote on December 10, 2022 at 2:16 AM

Reply to comment by [deleted] in [OC] Netherlands vs Argentina win probability over the course of the game (World Cup 2022 Quarter Finals) by woodzy_mtb

The grey line is extra time! So when the Netherlands score with 8 minutes left the probability of the game going to extra time jumps to near 99%.

Edit: Original comment asked about the sharp cross of lines at the end.

woodzy_mtb OP t1_izlnkau wrote on December 10, 2022 at 12:31 AM

Reply to [OC] Netherlands vs Argentina win probability over the course of the game (World Cup 2022 Quarter Finals) by woodzy_mtb

Source: Google win probability data from the World Cup data card in Google search results. Info about the data here.

Tool: Used Puppeteer javascript library to scrape the data from Google each minute of the game then Excel to create the chart.

To clarify the legend, orange is prob. of a Netherlands win in regular time, blue is an Argentina win, gray is prob. of ending in a tie and heading to extra time.