xdesi

xdesi t1_iudveyz wrote

You are wrong on Russia's capability and motive, and on what you imagine is India's change in position.

First, on RF - I hope you were being sarcastic because your label of bad performance does not gel with RF taking out a third of Ukraine's power supply in a few days. On motive, R sees it as an existential threat and the US knows it but still decided to get Ukraine into NATO. See William Burns communication to Condoleeza Rice in 2008. And that was not surprising if you read George Kennan on expanding NATO. So, bottom line: there is no way Russia is walking back on this one.

India's position has been consistent. On China, India and the US are on the same side to a large extent. India is worried because it is next door to China, and the US is worried about losing its paramountcy in the coming decades. India has no reason to take sides between NATO and Russia, not least because NATO never aided India in thwarting Chinese aggression in areas China claims. So the US "aid" to India, rather generously assuming it to be real help is not because the US is concerned about democracy but about China dethroning it.

So, you should stop thinking of such India/US news as a change in Indian policy.

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